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Ecuadorian president to pay state visit to China; trip to consolidate high‑level mutual trust, forge more cooperation consensus: expert_我的网站

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    The Chinese national flag and the Ecuadorian national flag. Photo: VCG
At the invitation of Chinese President Xi Jinping, President of the Republic of Ecuador Daniel Roy-Gilchrist Noboa Azín will pay a state visit to China from August 16 to 23, a Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson announced on Friday. 
Noting that 2026 marks the 10th anniversary of the China-Ecuador comprehensive strategic partnership, the Chinese spokesperson said that China hopes the visit will help further consolidate political mutual trust between the two countries, carry forward the traditional friendship, and achieve new progress in the comprehensive strategic partnership for the benefit of the two peoples. 
The spokesperson said Ecuador is an important Latin American country, and that the two sides have signed a document on Belt and Road cooperation and a free trade agreement, practical cooperation in various areas has been fruitful, and the friendship between the peoples has been deepening. 
A release from Ecuador's Ministry of Foreign Affairs notes that the China leg serves as the first stop of his Asia tour, which will also take him to Vietnam and Singapore. The statement adds that the state visit to China is intended to deepen strategic ties and advance key initiatives spanning trade, investment, infrastructure, energy, technology and sustainable‑development cooperation.
Citing Ecuadorian foreign minister Roberto Kury, local media outlet Vistazo reported that the agenda would include Chinese investment interest in energy and mining, as well as Quito's aim of boosting its exports.
According to the Chinese Foreign Ministry, the upcoming visit will be President Daniel Noboa's first state visit to China. It's also President Noboa's second visit to China following his initial trip in June 2025 for the Annual Meeting of the New Champions in North China's Dalian. 
During Noboa's last China visit, he met with the Chinese leader in Beijing. The two heads of state jointly witnessed the signing of the cooperation plan between China and Ecuador on jointly promoting Belt and Road cooperation. 
Ecuadorian digital outlet Primicias wrote that the trip will mark a new chapter in the bilateral relationship that Ecuador has consolidated with one of its key economic partners.
"In recent years, China‑Ecuador relations have maintained steady growth. This upcoming visit is expected to further consolidate high‑level political mutual trust between the two countries and forge top‑level consensus for further cooperation in the next phase," Pan Deng, director of the Latin America and Caribbean Region Law Center at the China University of Political Science and Law, told the Global Times on Friday. 
Meanwhile, the visit will also help strengthen the bilateral institutional cooperation network, translate cooperation plans into concrete outcomes across niche sectors, and establish a multi‑tiered dialogue mechanism covering governments, enterprises and academia, Pan noted.
"Pragmatic cooperation between China and Ecuador has outgrown fragmented, ad hoc short‑term projects, entering a new era of long‑term cooperation that is institutionalized, regular and scalable," Pan added. 
According to China's Ministry of Commerce, the China‑Ecuador Free Trade Agreement was signed on May 11, 2023 and officially entered into force on May 1, 2024. Ecuador thus became China's 27th free‑trade partner and the fourth for China in Latin America.
China has, for consecutive years, stood as Ecuador's second‑largest trading partner. Figures from China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs show that the bilateral trade volume stood at $17.33 billion in 2025, marking a 24‑percent year‑on‑year rise. For the January‑April period of 2026, bilateral trade totaled $6.28 billion, representing nearly 20‑percent year‑on‑year growth.
Pan noted that China‑Ecuador cooperation represents a typical model of complementary development. China boasts strengths in the market, production capacity, technology and capital, while Ecuador is endowed with high‑quality agricultural and marine resources, clean‑energy potential and a favorable Pacific geographic location. The two sides form a sound partnership based on mutual benefit and win‑win outcomes.
Specifically, Ecuador's agricultural produce, aquatic products and specialty resources  steadily continue to enter the Chinese market. In terms of investment and infrastructure, Chinese players have long taken part in local livelihood projects and infrastructure building that align with Ecuador's actual development needs, he noted. 
Ahead of the Ecuadorian president's state visit to China, Uruguayan President Yamandu Orsi travelled to China in February as Latin America's first head of state to visit China in 2026. During Orsi's visit, the two sides issued a joint statement on deepening their comprehensive strategic partnership, and signed more than 10 cooperation documents covering investment, trade and other fields.
Much like China‑Uruguay ties, evolving China‑Ecuador relations demonstrate that Latin American countries can pursue development‑oriented practical cooperation through independent diplomacy, without being forced to take sides or sacrificing their sovereignty and economic autonomy, said Pan. 
Amid rising trade protectionism, geopolitical disruptions and heightened market uncertainties, the two sides uphold open cooperation and mutual benefit, offering the Global South a viable pathway for cooperation rooted in equality, mutual benefit, stability and no political strings attached, he added. 
。    近日，伊朗总统佩泽希齐扬在会见巴基斯坦陆军参谋长时毫不掩饰地指出，美国的强权和霸凌只会使问题更加复杂。他的话语的背后，是一系列新一轮经济制裁的背景，而美国财政部长贝森特宣称启动的“经济弃儿行动”则如同一根针，扎入了这场已持续数月的紧张局势中。    过去几个月间，美国试图通过军事手段来迫使伊朗服软，但显然未能如愿。根据《华尔街日报》的分析，这种失败并不是偶然，而是源于特朗普政府在决策过程中的盲目乐观。情报机构曾警告，刺杀伊朗最高领袖可能导致更为强硬的反抗，然而特朗普却选择了“决定性选项”，结果是美军在战斗中遭受损失，伊朗的反抗也达到了前所未有的高度。        美国的战略重心已从军事行动转向了经济制裁，这一转向在某种程度上也是无奈的选择。贝森特声称，制裁的最终目标是切断伊朗的“经济生命线”，然而事实证明，这场“经济D日”不仅仅是一次强硬的经济行动，更是一次拯救战略的绝望尝试。    面对美国的经济制裁，伊朗显示出了惊人的韧性。根据CNN的分析，伊朗的“痛苦阈值”相当高，经历了长达47年的经济制裁，早已形成了一套独特的生存模式。更重要的是，霍尔木兹海峡作为全球海运石油的重要出入口，成为了伊朗手中的一张王牌。伊朗官员表示，如果继续受到经济攻击，整个波斯湾的石油出口将面临瘫痪。

B | 这种简单粗暴的逻辑，无疑让美国感到棘手。    伊朗革命卫队发言人表示，尽管面临严峻的海上封锁，伊朗仍能在国际市场上与其他国家开展经济往来。这不仅是口头上的威胁，更是实际生存状况的写照。如果美国继续施加压力，伊朗可能在未来采取更多激进措施，使全球能源市场动荡不安。        在这场博弈中，真正的关键却掌握在中国手中。根据船舶追踪公司Kpler的数据，中国已经成为伊朗原油的最大买家，几乎包括了伊朗80%至90%的石油出口。

C | 美国希望通过制裁中国来迫使其拒绝与伊朗的贸易，但现实中却并没有实现预期效果。

D |     《纽约时报》的报道指出，并没有迹象表明中国愿意配合特朗普的要求。尽管美国时而抛出制裁威胁，试图孤立伊朗，但中国的态度却始终强硬，坚决维护与伊朗的合作关系。    特朗普政府不仅在伊朗问题上面临两难，实际上，其对中国的贸易政策同样充满风险。近期，特朗普考虑对中国商品加征7.5%的关税，表面上看似是在解决经贸争端，但实质上可能借此施压中国在伊朗问题上配合美国。这种方法不仅表明了美国在外交策略上的焦虑，也暗示了其对中美关系的深层次影响。        如果美国的经济施压未能成功，特朗普在即将到来的中期选举中恐怕将面临重大挑战。

E | 为了挽回局势，他可能不得不将中美贸易问题置于更为突出的地位，甚至牵扯出更多的外交资源。    在这场复杂的国际博弈中，伊朗的经济制裁如同变幻莫测的棋局，既有其可预测的走向，也充满了未知的风险。如果中国不“点头”，那么美国在对伊朗的经济制裁中将面临巨大的困惑与挑战。美国的制裁力度如何升级，伊朗又将以何种方式进行反击，这些都依赖于复杂的国际关系网。    美国现正陷入一个经典的两难境地：要想实现对伊朗的有效制裁，必须把中国拉入其中，但一旦触及中国这一红线，代价将远超伊朗问题本身。特朗普政府如此彷徨的状态，加之中美关系的微妙变化，使得这场博弈充满悬念。返回，查看更多。

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